Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 94.321270 107.811206 123.596810 143.710496 169.073676 200.590908 243.719449
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 75.583557 91.963986 113.113685 143.383630 187.376837 252.289657 362.939568
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 65.173538 82.343712 105.909337 142.321341 200.836833 299.468867 503.327370
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 57.503634 74.591831 99.087919 139.150290 208.795091 340.065157 665.111691
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 52.314315 69.369431 94.736958 138.340738 219.790750 390.981029 907.035337
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 48.543973 65.625601 91.880910 139.115041 233.608334 455.459035 1293.889343
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 44.474116 60.919427 86.774354 134.805008 235.813672 494.079269 1682.806854
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 42.898590 59.859099 87.395265 140.996999 262.553254 619.080224 3004.012693
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 39.886807 56.202239 83.148304 136.951727 264.253736 669.628088 4222.415222
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 37.997417 54.183930 81.487968 137.774591 278.452220 779.620899 7691.289069
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 35.990049 51.793010 78.887802 136.158470 285.761741 872.464805 14348.941631
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 35.051708 51.106408 79.286442 141.078732 313.665080 1105.050110 72560.424460
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 35.170675 52.410994 83.896817 157.496535 389.970665 1872.730845 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 33.376221 50.227574 81.564030 157.039947 410.358454 2362.397285 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 31.713548 48.130353 79.140443 155.826009 427.834015 2967.742496 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.008502 45.821202 76.031505 152.202446 433.921087 3522.980118 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 28.702914 44.147717 74.060127 151.278232 452.167156 4577.959930 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 27.663516 42.889423 72.824072 152.162197 480.506713 6551.827539 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 26.266272 40.865902 69.760075 147.245831 476.884934 7597.906064 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 25.863076 40.696278 70.691952 154.312024 545.167778 16932.338675 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.676070 38.943751 67.960125 149.693303 541.817106 21354.416116 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 23.947163 38.036252 67.044554 150.632106 575.805881 44750.655588 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 23.092979 36.833657 65.354689 148.788622 590.500383 88560.267952 NaN